Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.000114 0.000126 0.000138 0.000152 0.000168 0.000185 0.000205
2026-01-18 0.000092 0.000109 0.000129 0.000153 0.000182 0.000217 0.000261
2026-01-25 0.000077 0.000097 0.000120 0.000151 0.000191 0.000240 0.000308
2026-02-01 0.000068 0.000088 0.000115 0.000151 0.000200 0.000264 0.000357
2026-02-08 0.000060 0.000081 0.000108 0.000148 0.000204 0.000282 0.000399
2026-02-15 0.000053 0.000074 0.000102 0.000145 0.000207 0.000296 0.000437
2026-02-22 0.000049 0.000070 0.000100 0.000146 0.000216 0.000320 0.000491
2026-03-01 0.000046 0.000068 0.000099 0.000149 0.000227 0.000348 0.000554
2026-03-08 0.000042 0.000063 0.000094 0.000145 0.000228 0.000359 0.000591
2026-03-15 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000226 0.000366 0.000621
2026-03-22 0.000036 0.000056 0.000087 0.000141 0.000234 0.000390 0.000683
2026-03-29 0.000034 0.000054 0.000086 0.000143 0.000242 0.000415 0.000750
2026-04-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000083 0.000141 0.000245 0.000432 0.000805
2026-04-12 0.000030 0.000049 0.000082 0.000142 0.000253 0.000458 0.000882
2026-04-19 0.000027 0.000046 0.000079 0.000139 0.000255 0.000474 0.000941
2026-04-26 0.000026 0.000045 0.000077 0.000139 0.000261 0.000498 0.001020
2026-05-03 0.000024 0.000042 0.000074 0.000137 0.000262 0.000513 0.001081
2026-05-10 0.000022 0.000040 0.000071 0.000134 0.000262 0.000523 0.001135
2026-05-17 0.000021 0.000039 0.000070 0.000135 0.000270 0.000554 0.001236
2026-05-24 0.000021 0.000038 0.000070 0.000138 0.000281 0.000591 0.001359
2026-05-31 0.000019 0.000036 0.000067 0.000134 0.000280 0.000600 0.001416
2026-06-07 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000130 0.000275 0.000602 0.001455
2026-06-14 0.000017 0.000033 0.000064 0.000131 0.000283 0.000634 0.001575